Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Demographics and GDP: 2% is the new 4%

Three years ago, I wrote Demographics and GDP: 2% is the new 4% . In that post I pointed out that due to demographics, slower GDP growth should have been expected over the last decade (contrary to political nonsense). Yesterday, Greg Ip at the WSJ noted : Mulvaney: "People thought we were crazy" to forecast 2.3% 2017 growth. "We blew that out of the water." (Referring to John Mulvaney, Director of the Office of Management and Budget). What was real GDP growth in 2017? 2.3% according to the BEA. Too funny.  (Maybe he meant Q4 over Q4, but that was only 2.5% - not exactly blown "out of ......(read more)
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