Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Duy: December FOMC Preview

A few excerpts from long post by Tim Duy at Fed Watch: December FOMC Preview The Federal Reserve will nudge rates 25bp higher this week. This will not end the policy tension among FOMC members. How will that unfold in 2017? My expectation is that whereas 2016 began with excessively high expectations for rate hikes, 2017 will be the opposite. My tendency is think that the risks to the Fed's median forecast of 50bp of rate hikes in 2017 are more weighted to the upside than the downside. Beware then of a more aggressive than expected Fed. ... Bottom Line: The Fed will hike rates this week; the......(read more)
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