Friday, July 24, 2015

Nomura on Q2 GDP and Annual Revision

A few excerpts from a research note by economists at Nomura: Q2 GDP, first estimate (Thursday): Economic activity in Q2 bounced back after slowing in Q1. However, some factors such as low energy prices and the strong dollar likely continued to weigh on business activity. We expect the BEA to report that the rebound in activity was concentrated in the consumer, housing and government sectors. As such we forecast a 2.8% increase in Q2 GDP, with real final sales growing by 3.1% as we expect inventory investment to subtract 0.3pp from GDP growth. The annual revisions to GDP will also be released. ......(read more)
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