Tuesday, April 21, 2015

Goldman on Inflation: Pass-Through Disinflation: Not Over Yet

A few excerpts from a note by Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle: How much should we make of the firmer [inflation] recent prints? In our view, not much. The new car and apparel categories are the largest core goods categories, and are also the most sensitive to import prices. Auto import prices have begun to fall over the last few months, and we expect a decline in consumer prices to follow. Apparel import prices, in contrast, only flattened recently and remain up roughly 1% over the past year. This is not so surprising: the dollar's recent appreciation has not been primarily against the......(read more)
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